Genotype-stratified adjunctive dexamethasone for tuberculous meningitis in HIV-negative adults: a randomized controlled phase 3 trial.
Donovan J, Duc Bang N, Dong HKT, Ho DTN, Nguyen TAT, Nguyen TTH, Lam HBN, Phung VKN, Nguyen TT, Nguyen HHH, Pham KNO, Do DAT, Nguyen TMT, Dang TMH, Nguyen HL, Nguyen VVC, Hoang TH, Tran DD, Phung KL, Ramakrishnan L, Le THN, Nguyen TTT, Wolbers M, Kestelyn E, Geskus RB, Nguyen HP, Thwaites GE
Paper source
Genotype-stratified adjunctive dexamethasone for tuberculous meningitis in HIV-negative adults: a randomized controlled phase 3 trial.
This rigor review was examined and confirmed by Adcurare Editorial · July 7, 2026
How this rating was calculated▸▾
- StatisticsStatistic did not reproduce−0.5★
- Summary statistic impossible for the stated N (GRIM/GRIMMER)
This Adcurare Rigor Review uses AI Rigor Reviewers trained on a curated corpus of high-fidelity and retracted papers, with expert supervision and curation. It can still make mistakes; verify each finding against the source before relying on it.
12 major claims checked against the paper's own evidence: all adequately supported.
Recomputed 5 tests: 5 consistent, 0 inconsistent, 5 via agent-written checks. 1 reported summary statistic mathematically impossible for the stated N (GRIM/GRIMMER).
The introduction extensively cites prior research on LTA4H genotype associations with inflammatory phenotypes and dexamethasone responsiveness in tuberculous meningitis, including the 2004 trial and subsequent genetic analyses. The rationale linking LTA4H genotype to potential differential corticosteroid response is clearly articulated. The paper acknowledges limitations of prior post-hoc analyses and observational studies, stating they 'may have over-estimated the effects of LTA4H on pathophysiology and treatment outcomes.'
Randomization was computer-generated with random permuted blocks (size 4 and 6), stratified by hospital, LTA4H genotype, and MRC severity grade. The randomization unit is the individual participant. The trial is double-blind for CC/CT genotypes (placebo-controlled), and TT genotype received open-label dexamethasone with ethical justification. A power analysis is reported: 184 events needed for 80% power at one-sided 2% significance, assuming HR 1.15. Inclusion/exclusion criteria are detailed in the Methods. Outlier handling is described for proteomic/transcriptomic data (e.g., exclusion if >3 SD from first PC). Controls are appropriate (placebo). Independent replication is not applicable for a single pivotal trial, but a planned individual participant meta-analysis with the 2004 trial is included.
Sex is reported (62% male overall) and balanced across arms. Age is reported as median (IQR). Demographics include age, sex, and disease severity (MRC grade). Health status is described via baseline characteristics (e.g., Glasgow coma score, CSF parameters). Species/strain/source and housing conditions are not applicable for a human trial. Sex justification is not applicable as both sexes are enrolled.
Informed consent is described: written informed consent was obtained from all participants or a relative if the participant was incapacitated; if capacity returned, consent from the participant was subsequently obtained. The paper provides a list of named ethics committees with approval numbers: Oxford Tropical Research Ethics Committee (52-16), Hospital for Tropical Diseases (37/HDDD), Pham Ngoc Thach Hospital (1034/HDDD-PNT), and Vietnam Ministry of Health (151/CN-BDGDD). Regulatory compliance with local and international standards is implied by the approval from the named bodies.
Dexamethasone dose, regimen, and route are detailed. The placebo is implied. Software used (R version 4.4.2, STAR, FeatureCounts, etc.) is identified. LTA4H genotyping reagents are also specified. No antibodies, cell lines, or organisms are used, so those criteria are not applicable.
The primary analysis uses Cox proportional hazards regression with hazard ratios and CIs. Exact p-values for the primary analysis are reported (p=0.044 for meta-analysis). The proportional hazards assumption was tested and not violated. For the noninferiority analysis, CIs are given. Effect sizes (HRs) and CIs are reported for primary and subgroup analyses. Data presentation uses Kaplan-Meier curves and forest plots, appropriate for a clinical trial. Software is identified (R 4.4.2). Mathematical plausibility checks: The total N of 702 enrolled is the sum of 613 randomized + 89 TT, as stated. The numbers in Table 1 and subgroup tables sum correctly (e.g., 291 CC + 322 CT + 89 TT = 702). The primary outcome counts (108/305 dex vs 110/308 placebo) are plausible given the risks. Per-group n for baseline table is internally consistent. The p-value for the meta-analysis is reported exactly (p=0.044). Exact p-values for some secondary analyses are given as ranges; this is not inadequate for a large trial. Assumptions: normality/equal variance tests are not applicable for Cox models. The pre-specified analysis plan handles assumptions appropriately (Cox model, proportional hazards test).
A data availability statement is present: deidentified trial data available on request to OUCRU with a 4-week response timeframe. Proteomic and transcriptomic data are deposited in Dryad (DOI: 10.5061/dryad.f1vhhmh7v). Analysis code is shared on GitHub (oucru-biostats/LAST-ACT). Repository deposit and accession numbers are applicable for the omics data and are adequate. Code sharing is adequate.
Methods are comprehensive, including protocol and statistical analysis plan references. The trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03100786). A reporting guideline (Nature Portfolio reporting summary) is linked. All pre-specified outcomes are reported, including negative results. Limitations are explicitly discussed (e.g., single-country, LTA4H frequency variation, post-hoc nature of some analyses). Conclusions are proportional, stating that noninferiority was not established and that dexamethasone's benefit is modest. Funding (Wellcome Investigator award 110179/Z/15/Z) and COI are stated.
8 copyedit issues flagged: mostly consistency, clarity, typo.
Checked 39 references: 0 verified — 39 not checked.
2 data/code links checked; 2 live.
Registered (1 ID: ClinicalTrials.gov). No reporting guideline cited.
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